Premier League Betting Preview: Man City set to give Liverpool 45 minutes of false hope

By Mark Young. In a new feature on The Offside Rule (We Get It!), we get the betting odds and preview the weekend's fixtures in the Premier League. This week, Mark Young checks out where the value is in the market. It is the final weekend of the Premier League season and with most fates decided amongst the 20 elite clubs of England finding some betting value is pretty tough...

The live television games see Manchester City (1/6) at home to West Ham (18/1) and Liverpool (1/5) at home to Newcastle (14/1) to see who will lift the Premier League trophy.

Manchester City are on the brink of claiming their second Premier League title after a win against Aston Villa on Wednesday night

Manchester City are on the brink of claiming their second Premier League title after a win against Aston Villa on Wednesday night

Both of the away teams seemed on the beach over a month ago until last weekend where home victories were scored. The bookies though, are giving neither a chance.

For an hour against Aston Villa, City struggled to break down a five-man defence but the key point is, they did. Will it take a last minute goal like their last title triumph two seasons ago?

It is 9/4 that Sergio Aguero nets last on Sunday and 17/4 for the scores to be level at half time and City to be winning at full time, giving Liverpool an edge of false hope.

To give themselves a chance of winning the league Liverpool must beat Newcastle and hope for a favour from the Hammers. It is impossible to read how Liverpool are going to bounce back from losing a three goal lead against Crystal Palace on Monday because that team looked mentally and physically on the floor at the full-time whistle.

Newcastle to win or grab a point is 4/1 but the better value may be Shola Ameobi to score at 6/1 on possibly his final game for the Magpies.

Ryan Giggs may have already played his last game for Manchester United

Ryan Giggs may have already played his last game for Manchester United

Ryan Giggs take charge of his final game as interim Manchester United boss at St Mary’s on Sunday where they take on everyone’s second favourite team in Southampton. Giggs has scored in every Premier League season apart from this one. He came off the bench on Tuesday against Hull but failed to fins a way through. He is 15/2 to score anytime to secure his record.

On the other side at St Mary’s are a number of English players looking to make their final push into Roy Hodgson’s England squad, due to be announced on Monday.

Fresh from his bizarre winner against Swansea last weekend Rickie Lambert is 6/1 to open the scoring this weekend with Adam Lallana at 9/1.

With United in seventh, they could still grab the coveted sixth spot in the Premier League that would mean Europa League qualification. In order for this to happen they need a favour from Aston Villa at Tottenham.

Tim Sherwood may be managing his last game at White Hart Lane and although he would like to have the option to pick himself, he can’t. Spurs though are favourites to claim this win at 8/15.

Tim Sherwood looks set to leave Spurs in the summer

Tim Sherwood looks set to leave Spurs in the summer

Relegated Cardiff host third placed Chelsea in the Welsh capital with the home side 15/2 to take three points from the 4/9 rated visitors. Unless contract negotiations pick up a pace it could be John Terry’s last game for Chelsea and the former England captain is 25/1 to open the scoring.

I am a believer in curse of the ex, in football terms anyway. Few ex-players ever look to cause misery for ex-clubs but sometimes it’s unavoidable. This weekend the curse could strike at the Hawthorns where West Brom host an on fire Stoke City.

Peter Odemwingie returns to the Hawthorns after arriving at Stoke via Cardiff. He is 15/2 to score first in what could be huge value as the free-flowing attack of Assaidi, Arnautovic and the Nigerian proved fruitful against Fulham last week.

Elsewhere, Fulham host Crystal Palace, Sunderland welcome Swansea and FA Cup finalists Arsenal and Hull face Norwich and Everton respectively.

Best Bet: Draw/ Man City double result @ 17/4

Worth a Punt: Peter Odemwingie to score first vs. West Brom @ 15/2

At a push: Shola Ameobi to score anytime vs. Liverpool @ 6/1

All odds correct from Oddschecker.com on 8/5/14

Can Liverpool do the unthinkable and clinch the title? Who will secure sixth spot? What are the chances of an injury time Aguero goal to secure Man City’s second Premier League crown?

Follow @markyoung1988

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