Siyang Xu highlights the best odds to earn you some cash in this weekend’s Premier League, Bundesliga and La Liga action.
Everton to beat Crystal Palace (H)
I’m always wary about tipping a Friday night game; the risk of ruining the hopes and dreams of a 78/1 11-fold before the weekend has even begun is all too great. However, on this particular occasion, I think the odds are just too tempting. Everton’s potent attackers were unfortunate not to score against Bournemouth last weekend, and will be looking to bounce back in front of their own fans on Friday. Kevin Mirallas, Yannick Bolasie and Ross Barkley will pose huge problems to Palace’s weaknesses at full-back (giving a debut to Zeki Fryers, a player who did not play a single minute of professional football last season, is a sign of how thin they are in that position) and defensive midfield. Meanwhile Romelu Lukaku should terrorise a Palace defence that will still be missing Scott Dann through injury (Lukaku to score any time at around 11/10 looks good too).
As for Palace, their run of three consecutive victories has been somewhat fluky, picking up nine points without ever playing particularly well or creating an abundance of chances. They have still only won four times away from home in the league in the last 12 months, despite recent victories at the Riverside Stadium and Stadium of Light, and it is improbable that they will add another away win on Friday.
Best Odds: 14/19 (Marathon Bet)
Borussia Dortmund to win and BTTS against Bayer Leverkusen (A)
A potential money maker, if you fancy a risk. Both teams have scored in six of Bayer Leverkusen’s seven games in all competitions – they even conceded in the cup against fifth division Hauenstein! Their high pressing approach can leave them open at the back if not executed well, and with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Ousmane Dembele, Dortmund have the resources to punish Leverkusen in behind their defence.
On the other hand, their bold pressing strategy does create good goal-scoring chances when successful and should see them nick a goal at least, with Dortmund themselves having only kept one clean sheet in the Bundesliga this season (at home to Darmstadt). However, the quality of Dortmund’s attack, boasting a league high 16 goals so far, should see them through with all three points.
Best Odds: 11/4 (Bwin)
Atletico Madrid to beat Valencia (A)
Despite two wins in their last two matches, Valencia are still very much a club in turmoil. Those two victories represent their only two victories in the last 10 games, and both were against newly-promoted sides in Deportivo Alaves and Leganes. They sold their best striker (Paco Alcacer), best midfielder (Andre Gomes) and best defender (Shkodran Mustafi) without adequately replacing any of them, and have recently sacked their ninth manager in four years.
Eliaquim Mangala is still looking as error prone as ever at the heart of defence, and Griezmann and co. will be licking their lips in anticipation. Despite a slow start (two draws to open the season), Atletico have recovered and are now creating an abundance of chances on a regular basis. At odds of just under evens, they look a very good bet this weekend.
Best Odds: 13/15 (Marathon Bet)
Las Palmas to beat Osasuna (A)
The small club from the Canary Islands are taking La Liga by storm. Despite a minimal budget, Los Amarillos are right up there with the big boys in 7th, just four points off table-toppers Real Madrid, having earned a hard-fought draw against them last weekend. Their passing and movement have been delightful to watch so far, and they’re definitely not afraid to try and outplay their more talented counterparts.
They come up against basement boys Osasuna, who are yet to win a game since their promotion from the Segunda Division last season. With just five goals scored so far, Osasuna look in big trouble and betting on an away win might be a big money-maker at odds of well over evens. Obviously we have to be wary – Osasuna will obviously start winning at some point – but I feel that Las Palmas’ excellent start to the season should give them enough momentum to earn a victory.
Best Odds: 8/5 (Sporting Bet)
Zlatan Ibrahimovic to score any time
The big man has now failed to score in two whole matches but I wouldn’t expect that barren run to continue this weekend. At home to winless Stoke, who have already conceded 15 goals in the league, Ibrahimovic should get plenty of opportunities to add to his Premier League tally. With Bruno Martins Indi and Ryan Shawcross not particularly strong in the air either, it won’t be a surprise to see Ibrahimovic tower over them to nod home a header.
Best Odds: 5/6 (Betfair)
Potential Banana Skins
Although it might be tempting to add Chelsea (away at Hull), Liverpool (away at Swansea) and Arsenal (away at Burnley) to your accumulator, the odds really aren’t great considering they are all away from home and it is quite likely that at least one of them will slip up – it’s very rare that all the of the ‘favourites’ win on one weekend.
Written by Siyang Xu.